Mullahs, Trump, Bibi, and MBS: A Complex Political Landscape
Biden's Stance on Israel
President Biden has asserted that no administration has done more to help Israel than his. He made this statement defensively, aware of his political vulnerability on the issue. He also stated that he wasn't sure if Netanyahu was trying to influence the election but he wasn't relying on that possibility.
Speculations and Possibilities
There are speculations about how Bibi might respond to Iran's missile attack. Some suggest he might target the Ayatollah's oil fields or nuclear facilities, or perhaps both. With the decline in Mullah pager usage, questions are raised about how Mossad would neutralize Iran's leadership. Only Netanyahu knows the answer.
The Return of the Politician
The world has changed significantly. Central bank governing boards no longer determine the course of world history. Politicians have taken center stage once again.
Israel's Next Move
Biden revealed that Israel has not yet decided on its course of action regarding a potential strike. He suggested that if he were in their position, he would consider alternatives to striking oilfields.
The Implications of an Oilfield Strike
An oilfield strike would likely cause a surge in oil prices, gasoline, and inflation. If the Ayatollah retaliates by striking Saudi oilfields, crude could exceed $125/barrel, which could potentially cost Harris the election.
The Political Preferences of Bibi and MBS
While the Mullahs may not want a second Trump term, Bibi and MBS seem to favor it. Saudi forces could potentially do more to counteract the Houthis, who launched two more attacks this week. However, the Ayatollah's proxies continue to operate, disrupting world trade and providing a glimpse into a future without strong, engaged, and principled US leadership.
The Unpredictability of the Political Age
In this new political age, only a few leaders with their fingers on the triggers can accurately predict what will happen next. It seems likely that most of the developments will occur between now and the next US presidential election on November 5th.
Bottom Line
This complex political landscape presents a myriad of possibilities and uncertainties. With leaders like Bibi and MBS potentially influencing the course of events, the future is anything but predictable. What are your thoughts on this intricate political scenario? Share your opinions with your friends and join the conversation. Don't forget to sign up for the Daily Briefing, which is delivered every day at 6pm.
